Aaron Nola Player Props
Philadelphia Phillies
Not on today’s slate — lines and stats last updated October 1, 2026
Last available odds (October 1, 2026)
Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies has recorded Strikeouts over 3.5 in 84% of 51 graded games. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 87%.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 84% |
| Outs Recorded | Over 12.5 | 90% |
| Walks Allowed | Over 0.5 | 80% |
| Earned Runs | Over 1.5 | 75% |
Strikeouts Over 3.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | -124 | -128 | -135 | -125 | -125 |
| Under 3.5 | -103 | +100 | +100 | -110 | -105 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts (vs 3.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs TB | 0 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | vs MIL | 8 | Won |
| Sep 17 | @ NYM | 4 | Won |
| Sep 11 | @ ATL | 3 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | vs ATL | 5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | @ AZ | 4 | Won |
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 7 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 8 | Won |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 9 | Won |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 8 | Won |
Results vs the Over 3.5 line.
8 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded Over 12.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 | — | — | +105 | — | — |
| Under 12.5 | — | — | -145 | — | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded (vs 12.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs TB | 3 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | vs MIL | 18 | Won |
| Sep 17 | @ NYM | 21 | Won |
| Sep 11 | @ ATL | 19 | Won |
| Sep 6 | vs ATL | 21 | Won |
| Aug 31 | @ AZ | 15 | Won |
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 18 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 21 | Won |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 15 | Won |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 15 | Won |
Results vs the Over 12.5 line.
Walks Allowed Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | -215 | — | — | — | -200 |
| Under 0.5 | +160 | — | — | — | +150 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Walks Allowed (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs TB | 0 | Lost |
| Sep 23 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Sep 17 | @ NYM | 3 | Won |
| Sep 11 | @ ATL | 3 | Won |
| Sep 6 | vs ATL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 31 | @ AZ | 2 | Won |
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 3 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 3 | Won |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 2 | Won |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
Earned Runs Over 1.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | -120 | — | -135 | — | -125 |
| Under 1.5 | -110 | — | +100 | — | -105 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs (vs 1.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs TB | 3 | Won |
| Sep 23 | vs MIL | 4 | Won |
| Sep 17 | @ NYM | 0 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | @ ATL | 2 | Won |
| Sep 6 | vs ATL | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ AZ | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 2 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 2 | Won |
Results vs the Over 1.5 line.
How Aaron Nola's Strikeouts pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Aaron's did.
- J.T. Realmuto (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 17 of 30 shared games (57%), with Aaron hitting in 80% of them.
- Bryson Stott (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 27 of 48 shared games (56%), with Aaron hitting in 83% of them.
- Trea Turner (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 25 of 46 shared games (54%), with Aaron hitting in 83% of them.
- Brandon Marsh (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 23 of 44 shared games (52%), with Aaron hitting in 82% of them.
- Alec Bohm (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 23 of 49 shared games (47%), with Aaron hitting in 84% of them.
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