Aaron Nola Player Props
Philadelphia Phillies
Not on today’s slate — lines and stats last updated August 31, 2026
Last available odds (August 31, 2026)
Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies has recorded Strikeouts over 4.5 in 71% of 45 graded games. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 73%.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 71% |
| Outs Recorded | Over 17.5 | 40% |
| Walks Allowed | Over 1.5 | 56% |
| Earned Runs | Over 2.5 | 58% |
Strikeouts Over 4.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | -113 | -115 | -120 | -120 | -120 |
| Under 4.5 | -113 | -111 | -110 | -115 | -110 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts (vs 4.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 7 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 8 | Won |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 9 | Won |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 8 | Won |
| Aug 3 | vs WSH | 5 | Won |
| Jul 28 | @ MIA | 4 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | vs LAD | 4 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | vs NYM | 6 | Won |
| Jul 10 | @ DET | 8 | Won |
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 7 | Won |
Results vs the Over 4.5 line.
9 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded Over 17.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 | — | +108 | — | — | — |
| Under 17.5 | — | -148 | — | — | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded (vs 17.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 18 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 21 | Won |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 15 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 15 | Lost |
| Aug 3 | vs WSH | 18 | Won |
| Jul 28 | @ MIA | 17 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | vs LAD | 16 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | vs NYM | 18 | Won |
| Jul 10 | @ DET | 15 | Lost |
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 21 | Won |
Results vs the Over 17.5 line.
Walks Allowed Over 1.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | -171 | — | — | -175 | -165 |
| Under 1.5 | +128 | — | — | +125 | +125 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Walks Allowed (vs 1.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 3 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 3 | Won |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 2 | Won |
| Aug 3 | vs WSH | 2 | Won |
| Jul 28 | @ MIA | 3 | Won |
| Jul 22 | vs LAD | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 16 | vs NYM | 4 | Won |
| Jul 10 | @ DET | 2 | Won |
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 1.5 line.
Earned Runs Over 2.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | +119 | — | +100 | — | +110 |
| Under 2.5 | -159 | — | -140 | — | -145 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs (vs 2.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 13 | @ MIN | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 3 | vs WSH | 3 | Won |
| Jul 28 | @ MIA | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | vs LAD | 5 | Won |
| Jul 16 | vs NYM | 3 | Won |
| Jul 10 | @ DET | 2 | Lost |
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 3 | Won |
Results vs the Over 2.5 line.
How Aaron Nola's Strikeouts pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Aaron's did.
- J.T. Realmuto (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 13 of 27 shared games (48%), with Aaron hitting in 70% of them.
- Brandon Marsh (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 18 of 38 shared games (47%), with Aaron hitting in 68% of them.
- Bryson Stott (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 17 of 42 shared games (40%), with Aaron hitting in 69% of them.
- Bryce Harper (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 17 of 44 shared games (39%), with Aaron hitting in 73% of them.
- Alec Bohm (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 13 of 43 shared games (30%), with Aaron hitting in 70% of them.
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