Aaron Nola Player Props
Philadelphia Phillies · PHI @ DET, 18:40 ET
Data updated July 10, 2026 (ET)
Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies has recorded Strikeouts over 5.5 in 43% of 37 graded games heading into today's matchup with the Detroit Tigers. Over his last 7 games that historical hit rate is 43%. The recent-window splits and live sportsbook odds below reflect the slate as of July 10, 2026.
Strikeouts — Over 5.5
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | +110 | -102 | -105 | -105 | +100 |
| Under 5.5 | -141 | -125 | -125 | -130 | -130 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 7 | Hit |
| Jun 29 | vs PIT | 5 | Miss |
| Jun 24 | @ WSH | 5 | Miss |
| Jun 18 | vs NYM | 6 | Hit |
| Jun 13 | @ MIL | 3 | Miss |
| Jun 7 | vs CHW | 4 | Miss |
| Jun 2 | vs SD | 8 | Hit |
| May 26 | @ SD | 5 | Miss |
| May 20 | vs CIN | 5 | Miss |
| May 15 | @ PIT | 2 | Miss |
Results vs today's Over 5.5 line.
10 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded — Over 16.5
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 16.5 | +111 | +110 | +115 | ||
| Under 16.5 | -147 | -152 | -150 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 21 | Hit |
| Jun 29 | vs PIT | 13 | Miss |
| Jun 24 | @ WSH | 15 | Miss |
| Jun 18 | vs NYM | 15 | Miss |
| Jun 13 | @ MIL | 14 | Miss |
| Jun 7 | vs CHW | 13 | Miss |
| Jun 2 | vs SD | 15 | Miss |
| May 26 | @ SD | 18 | Hit |
| May 20 | vs CIN | 15 | Miss |
| May 15 | @ PIT | 11 | Miss |
Results vs today's Over 16.5 line.
Walks Allowed — Over 1.5
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | -131 | -135 | -130 | ||
| Under 1.5 | -101 | +100 | +100 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Walks Allowed | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 0 | Miss |
| Jun 29 | vs PIT | 2 | Hit |
| Jun 24 | @ WSH | 2 | Hit |
| Jun 18 | vs NYM | 1 | Miss |
| Jun 13 | @ MIL | 2 | Hit |
| Jun 7 | vs CHW | 4 | Hit |
| Jun 2 | vs SD | 0 | Miss |
| May 26 | @ SD | 0 | Miss |
| May 20 | vs CIN | 0 | Miss |
| May 15 | @ PIT | 3 | Hit |
Results vs today's Over 1.5 line.
Earned Runs — Over 2.5
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | -128 | -120 | -125 | ||
| Under 2.5 | -103 | -115 | -105 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 3 | Hit |
| Jun 29 | vs PIT | 7 | Hit |
| Jun 24 | @ WSH | 2 | Miss |
| Jun 18 | vs NYM | 2 | Miss |
| Jun 13 | @ MIL | 3 | Hit |
| Jun 7 | vs CHW | 5 | Hit |
| Jun 2 | vs SD | 2 | Miss |
| May 26 | @ SD | 2 | Miss |
| May 20 | vs CIN | 4 | Hit |
| May 15 | @ PIT | 6 | Hit |
Results vs today's Over 2.5 line.
How Aaron Nola's Strikeouts pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Aaron's did.
- J.T. Realmuto (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 8 of 25 shared games (32%) (Aaron alone: 44% in those games)
- Trea Turner (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 9 of 32 shared games (28%) (Aaron alone: 41% in those games)
- Brandon Marsh (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 7 of 30 shared games (23%) (Aaron alone: 37% in those games)
- Alec Bohm (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 8 of 35 shared games (23%) (Aaron alone: 43% in those games)
- Bryson Stott (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 7 of 34 shared games (21%) (Aaron alone: 38% in those games)
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