MLB Earned Runs Props
Data updated July 10, 2026 (ET)
27 MLB pitchers have a earned runs prop on the 2026-07-10 slate. The table below shows each player’s mainline Over line, their season and last-15-game historical hit rates, and the best available Over price across the sportsbooks we track. Hit rates reflect graded games only and never guarantee a future result.
| Player | Team | Over | Season | L15 | Best Over odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Lopez | Athletics | 0.5 | 71% (34) | 100% (15) | +110 BetMGM |
| Brandon Sproat | Milwaukee Brewers | 1.5 | 68% (22) | 60% (15) | -170 Hard Rock |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | 2.5 | 65% (37) | 67% (15) | -120 BetMGM |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | 2.5 | 58% (26) | 53% (15) | -140 BetMGM |
| Tanner Gordon | Colorado Rockies | 2.5 | 56% (27) | 60% (15) | -116 DraftKings |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | 2.5 | 54% (50) | 53% (15) | +110 BetMGM |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets | 1.5 | 50% (26) | 53% (15) | -150 Hard Rock |
| JP Sears | San Diego Padres | 2.5 | 47% (30) | 47% (15) | +113 DraftKings |
| Zebby Matthews | Minnesota Twins | 2.5 | 46% (26) | 40% (15) | -118 BetMGM |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers | 2.5 | 46% (50) | 47% (15) | +120 BetMGM |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs | 2.5 | 44% (45) | 40% (15) | -120 BetMGM |
| Ryan Weathers | New York Yankees | 2.5 | 44% (25) | 40% (15) | -111 DraftKings |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | 2.5 | 43% (49) | 27% (15) | +120 BetMGM |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | 1.5 | 41% (37) | 40% (15) | -145 Hard Rock |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners | 2.5 | 40% (52) | 40% (15) | -115 Hard Rock |
| Robbie Ray | San Francisco Giants | 2.5 | 38% (50) | 47% (15) | +110 Hard Rock |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1.5 | 34% (44) | 53% (15) | -125 BetMGM |
| Cal Quantrill | Texas Rangers | 2.5 | 34% (44) | 7% (15) | +110 Hard Rock |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.5 | 33% (48) | 20% (15) | +120 Hard Rock |
| Hunter Greene | Cincinnati Reds | 2.5 | 33% (21) | 33% (15) | -115 BetMGM |
| Sean Burke | Chicago White Sox | 2.5 | 32% (47) | 33% (15) | +113 DraftKings |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays | 2.5 | 31% (58) | 27% (15) | +105 Hard Rock |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | 2.5 | 27% (26) | 33% (15) | +130 Hard Rock |
| Shane Bieber | Toronto Blue Jays | 2.5 | 27% (15) | 27% (15) | -112 DraftKings |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | 2.5 | 19% (37) | 13% (15) | +115 Hard Rock |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | 2.5 | 15% (81) | 47% (15) | +105 Hard Rock |
| Luinder Avila | Kansas City Royals | 2.5 | 13% (30) | 20% (15) | -137 DraftKings |
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