Casey Mize Player Props
San Diego Padres · at Cincinnati Reds, 12:40 PM ET
Data updated September 2, 2026 (ET)
Closing odds — game underway or final.
Casey Mize of the San Diego Padres has recorded Strikeouts over 4.5 in 51% of 51 graded games heading into the matchup with the Cincinnati Reds. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 40%. The recent-window splits and live sportsbook odds below reflect the slate as of September 2, 2026.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 51% |
| Outs Recorded | Over 15.5 | 61% |
| Walks Allowed | Over 1.5 | 39% |
| Earned Runs | Over 2.5 | 33% |
Strikeouts Over 4.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | -106 | -118 | -130 | -120 | -120 |
| Under 4.5 | -120 | -108 | -105 | -115 | -110 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts (vs 4.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 3 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 6 | Won |
| Aug 5 | @ AZ | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | vs KC | 3 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | @ LAA | 5 | Won |
| Jul 11 | vs PHI | 5 | Won |
| Jul 5 | @ TEX | 4 | Lost |
| Jun 29 | @ NYY | 10 | Won |
Results vs the Over 4.5 line.
9 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded Over 15.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 | +115 | +104 | +100 | +100 | +105 |
| Under 15.5 | -152 | -138 | -135 | -140 | -135 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded (vs 15.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 15 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 8 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 18 | Won |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 18 | Won |
| Aug 5 | @ AZ | 10 | Lost |
| Jul 25 | vs KC | 18 | Won |
| Jul 19 | @ LAA | 10 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | vs PHI | 17 | Won |
| Jul 5 | @ TEX | 20 | Won |
| Jun 29 | @ NYY | 21 | Won |
Results vs the Over 15.5 line.
Walks Allowed Over 1.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | +101 | — | — | — | +105 |
| Under 1.5 | -134 | — | — | — | -130 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Walks Allowed (vs 1.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 2 | Won |
| Aug 5 | @ AZ | 3 | Won |
| Jul 25 | vs KC | 0 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | @ LAA | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | vs PHI | 2 | Won |
| Jul 5 | @ TEX | 2 | Won |
| Jun 29 | @ NYY | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 1.5 line.
Earned Runs Over 2.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | -126 | — | -110 | — | -115 |
| Under 2.5 | -105 | — | -120 | — | -115 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs (vs 2.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 4 | Won |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 5 | @ AZ | 8 | Won |
| Jul 25 | vs KC | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 19 | @ LAA | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 11 | vs PHI | 3 | Won |
| Jul 5 | @ TEX | 2 | Lost |
| Jun 29 | @ NYY | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 2.5 line.
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