Merrill Kelly Player Props
Arizona Diamondbacks
Not on today’s slate — lines and stats last updated August 29, 2026
Last available odds (August 29, 2026)
Merrill Kelly of the Arizona Diamondbacks has recorded Strikeouts over 4.5 in 46% of 56 graded games. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 27%.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 46% |
| Outs Recorded | Over 17.5 | 48% |
| Walks Allowed | Over 2.5 | 38% |
| Earned Runs | Over 2.5 | 43% |
Strikeouts Over 4.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | +134 | — | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | -172 | — | — | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts (vs 4.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | vs CHC | 4 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | @ BOS | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 12 | vs COL | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 7 | vs LAD | 4 | Lost |
| Aug 2 | @ CLE | 5 | Won |
| Jul 27 | @ PIT | 6 | Won |
| Jul 22 | vs ATH | 3 | Lost |
| Jul 17 | vs STL | 3 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | @ SD | 6 | Won |
| Jul 4 | vs MIL | 6 | Won |
Results vs the Over 4.5 line.
8 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded Over 17.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 | — | — | -110 | — |
| Under 17.5 | — | — | -130 | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded (vs 17.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | vs CHC | 17 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | @ BOS | 12 | Lost |
| Aug 12 | vs COL | 15 | Lost |
| Aug 7 | vs LAD | 17 | Lost |
| Aug 2 | @ CLE | 15 | Lost |
| Jul 27 | @ PIT | 17 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | vs ATH | 15 | Lost |
| Jul 17 | vs STL | 15 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | @ SD | 21 | Won |
| Jul 4 | vs MIL | 15 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 17.5 line.
Walks Allowed Over 2.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | — | +140 | +145 |
| Under 2.5 | — | — | -200 | -200 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Walks Allowed (vs 2.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | vs CHC | 3 | Won |
| Aug 18 | @ BOS | 4 | Won |
| Aug 12 | vs COL | 3 | Won |
| Aug 7 | vs LAD | 4 | Won |
| Aug 2 | @ CLE | 4 | Won |
| Jul 27 | @ PIT | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | vs ATH | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 17 | vs STL | 2 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | @ SD | 3 | Won |
| Jul 4 | vs MIL | 2 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 2.5 line.
Earned Runs Over 2.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | -120 | — | -120 |
| Under 2.5 | — | -115 | — | -110 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs (vs 2.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | vs CHC | 3 | Won |
| Aug 18 | @ BOS | 6 | Won |
| Aug 12 | vs COL | 6 | Won |
| Aug 7 | vs LAD | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 2 | @ CLE | 5 | Won |
| Jul 27 | @ PIT | 0 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | vs ATH | 2 | Lost |
| Jul 17 | vs STL | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | @ SD | 1 | Lost |
| Jul 4 | vs MIL | 2 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 2.5 line.
How Merrill Kelly's Strikeouts pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Merrill's did.
- Geraldo Perdomo (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 18 of 46 shared games (39%), with Merrill hitting in 48% of them.
- Corbin Carroll (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 10 of 42 shared games (24%), with Merrill hitting in 45% of them.
- Tim Tawa (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 4 of 26 shared games (15%), with Merrill hitting in 46% of them.
- Gabriel Moreno (Hits Over 1.5) — both hit in 1 of 27 shared games (4%), with Merrill hitting in 44% of them.
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