Mitch Keller Player Props
Pittsburgh Pirates
Not on today’s slate — lines and stats last updated August 2, 2026
Last available odds (August 2, 2026)
Mitch Keller of the Pittsburgh Pirates has recorded Strikeouts over 4.5 in 42% of 53 graded games. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 33%.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 42% |
| Outs Recorded | Over 14.5 | 81% |
| Earned Runs | Over 2.5 | 49% |
Strikeouts Over 4.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 29% (7 games)
Last 15 33% (15 games)
Last 30 37% (30 games)
Season 42% (53 games)
On the road 50% (24 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | -133 | -130 | -145 | -135 | -130 |
| Under 4.5 | +105 | +102 | +105 | +100 | +100 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts (vs 4.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27 | vs AZ | 4 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | @ NYY | 6 | Won |
| Jul 9 | vs ATL | 3 | Lost |
| Jul 3 | @ WSH | 1 | Lost |
| Jun 28 | vs CIN | 4 | Lost |
| Jun 23 | vs SEA | 4 | Lost |
| Jun 16 | @ ATH | 7 | Won |
| Jun 11 | vs LAD | 3 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | @ ATL | 4 | Lost |
| May 30 | vs MIN | 5 | Won |
Results vs the Over 4.5 line.
10 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded Over 14.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 86% (7 games)
Last 15 73% (15 games)
Last 30 73% (30 games)
Season 81% (53 games)
On the road 83% (24 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 | -164 | -172 | — | -170 | -160 |
| Under 14.5 | +123 | +122 | — | +120 | +120 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded (vs 14.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27 | vs AZ | 16 | Won |
| Jul 22 | @ NYY | 15 | Won |
| Jul 9 | vs ATL | 9 | Lost |
| Jul 3 | @ WSH | 18 | Won |
| Jun 28 | vs CIN | 18 | Won |
| Jun 23 | vs SEA | 18 | Won |
| Jun 16 | @ ATH | 16 | Won |
| Jun 11 | vs LAD | 12 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | @ ATL | 14 | Lost |
| May 30 | vs MIN | 12 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 14.5 line.
Earned Runs Over 2.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 71% (7 games)
Last 15 67% (15 games)
Last 30 53% (30 games)
Season 49% (53 games)
On the road 46% (24 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | ESPN Bet | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | — | -130 | — | -125 |
| Under 2.5 | — | — | -105 | — | -105 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs (vs 2.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27 | vs AZ | 2 | Lost |
| Jul 22 | @ NYY | 0 | Lost |
| Jul 9 | vs ATL | 3 | Won |
| Jul 3 | @ WSH | 5 | Won |
| Jun 28 | vs CIN | 3 | Won |
| Jun 23 | vs SEA | 3 | Won |
| Jun 16 | @ ATH | 4 | Won |
| Jun 11 | vs LAD | 5 | Won |
| Jun 5 | @ ATL | 6 | Won |
| May 30 | vs MIN | 7 | Won |
Results vs the Over 2.5 line.
How Mitch Keller's Strikeouts pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Mitch's did.
- Nick Gonzales (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 10 of 37 shared games (27%), with Mitch hitting in 41% of them.
- Spencer Horwitz (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 10 of 37 shared games (27%), with Mitch hitting in 46% of them.
- Henry Davis (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 6 of 31 shared games (19%), with Mitch hitting in 42% of them.
- Jared Triolo (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 6 of 32 shared games (19%), with Mitch hitting in 34% of them.
- Bryan Reynolds (Hits Over 1.5) — both hit in 8 of 52 shared games (15%), with Mitch hitting in 42% of them.
Build Mitch's props into a parlay
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