Seth Lugo Player Props
Kansas City Royals
Not on today’s slate — lines and stats last updated September 23, 2026
Last available odds (September 23, 2026)
Seth Lugo of the Kansas City Royals has recorded Strikeouts over 4.5 in 54% of 57 graded games. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 47%.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 54% |
| Outs Recorded | Over 15.5 | 60% |
| Walks Allowed | Over 1.5 | 65% |
| Earned Runs | Over 2.5 | 47% |
Strikeouts Over 4.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 43% (7 games)
Last 15 47% (15 games)
Last 30 47% (30 games)
Season 54% (57 games)
At home 52% (29 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | +104 | -102 | -105 | -110 | -105 |
| Under 4.5 | -133 | -125 | -125 | -125 | -125 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Strikeouts (vs 4.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | @ HOU | 5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | @ BOS | 7 | Won |
| Sep 5 | vs TOR | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | @ CLE | 2 | Lost |
| Aug 25 | @ TOR | 5 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs ATH | 3 | Lost |
| Aug 14 | @ LAA | 4 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | vs CHC | 5 | Won |
| Aug 2 | @ COL | 3 | Lost |
| Jul 28 | @ MIN | 2 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 4.5 line.
9 alternate lines available in the app.
Outs Recorded Over 15.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 14% (7 games)
Last 15 40% (15 games)
Last 30 50% (30 games)
Season 60% (57 games)
At home 72% (29 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 15.5 | +137 | +140 | +135 | +130 | +135 |
| Under 15.5 | -183 | -192 | -185 | -185 | -185 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Outs Recorded (vs 15.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | @ HOU | 15 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | @ BOS | 15 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | vs TOR | 15 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | @ CLE | 11 | Lost |
| Aug 25 | @ TOR | 15 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs ATH | 18 | Won |
| Aug 14 | @ LAA | 14 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | vs CHC | 18 | Won |
| Aug 2 | @ COL | 15 | Lost |
| Jul 28 | @ MIN | 18 | Won |
Results vs the Over 15.5 line.
Walks Allowed Over 1.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 43% (7 games)
Last 15 60% (15 games)
Last 30 63% (30 games)
Season 65% (57 games)
At home 69% (29 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | -191 | — | — | -180 | -190 |
| Under 1.5 | +143 | — | — | +130 | +140 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Walks Allowed (vs 1.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | @ HOU | 1 | Lost |
| Sep 11 | @ BOS | 2 | Won |
| Sep 5 | vs TOR | 2 | Won |
| Aug 30 | @ CLE | 2 | Won |
| Aug 25 | @ TOR | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs ATH | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 14 | @ LAA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 8 | vs CHC | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 2 | @ COL | 5 | Won |
| Jul 28 | @ MIN | 2 | Won |
Results vs the Over 1.5 line.
Earned Runs Over 2.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
Last 7 71% (7 games)
Last 15 67% (15 games)
Last 30 53% (30 games)
Season 47% (57 games)
At home 48% (29 games)
| Bet | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | +115 | — | +105 | — | +115 |
| Under 2.5 | -153 | — | -145 | — | -145 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Earned Runs (vs 2.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | @ HOU | 4 | Won |
| Sep 11 | @ BOS | 2 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | vs TOR | 3 | Won |
| Aug 30 | @ CLE | 9 | Won |
| Aug 25 | @ TOR | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs ATH | 5 | Won |
| Aug 14 | @ LAA | 5 | Won |
| Aug 8 | vs CHC | 3 | Won |
| Aug 2 | @ COL | 5 | Won |
| Jul 28 | @ MIN | 1 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 2.5 line.
How Seth Lugo's Strikeouts pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Seth's did.
- Maikel Garcia (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 20 of 42 shared games (48%), with Seth hitting in 60% of them.
- Bobby Witt Jr. (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 23 of 51 shared games (45%), with Seth hitting in 57% of them.
- Vinnie Pasquantino (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 19 of 49 shared games (39%), with Seth hitting in 57% of them.
- Salvador Perez (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 19 of 53 shared games (36%), with Seth hitting in 53% of them.
- Isaac Collins (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 9 of 27 shared games (33%), with Seth hitting in 44% of them.
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