Carson Kelly Player Props
Chicago Cubs · vs Milwaukee Brewers, 7:40 PM ET · vs Jacob Misiorowski
Data updated September 2, 2026 (ET)
Carson Kelly of the Chicago Cubs has recorded Hits over 0.5 in 57% of 214 graded games heading into the matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 67%. The recent-window splits and live sportsbook odds below reflect the slate as of September 2, 2026.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Hits | Over 0.5 | 57% |
| Home Runs | Over 0.5 | 12% |
| Total Bases | Over 0.5 | 57% |
| Runs Scored | Over 0.5 | 36% |
| RBIs | Over 0.5 | 28% |
| Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 64% |
Hits Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | -120 | -130 | -125 |
| Under 0.5 | -110 | +100 | -105 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Hits (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 3 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 2 | Won |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | @ AZ | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | @ AZ | 1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ SEA | 1 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ SEA | 2 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs CHW | 1 | Won |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
4 alternate lines available in the app.
Home Runs Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | +900 | — |
| Under 0.5 | — | -2500 | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Home Runs (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 1 | Won |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | @ AZ | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | @ AZ | 1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ SEA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | @ SEA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
2 alternate lines available in the app.
Total Bases Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | -120 | -130 | — |
| Under 0.5 | -110 | +100 | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Total Bases (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 6 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 6 | Won |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | @ AZ | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | @ AZ | 4 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ SEA | 1 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ SEA | 2 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs CHW | 2 | Won |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
5 alternate lines available in the app.
Runs Scored Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | +185 | +190 | — |
| Under 0.5 | -250 | -250 | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Runs Scored (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 3 | Won |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 1 | Won |
| Aug 26 | @ AZ | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | @ AZ | 1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ SEA | 1 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ SEA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs CHW | 1 | Won |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
3 alternate lines available in the app.
RBIs Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | +260 | +260 | — |
| Under 0.5 | -375 | -375 | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | RBIs (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 2 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 4 | Won |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | @ AZ | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | @ AZ | 1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ SEA | 1 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ SEA | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
5 alternate lines available in the app.
Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5
| Bet | BetMGM | theScore | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | -165 | — |
| Under 0.5 | — | +130 | — |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Hits + Runs + RBIs (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 6 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 9 | Won |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 1 | Won |
| Aug 26 | @ AZ | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | @ AZ | 3 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ SEA | 3 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ SEA | 2 | Won |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs CHW | 2 | Won |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
5 alternate lines available in the app.
How Carson Kelly's Hits pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Carson's did.
- Nico Hoerner (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 95 of 213 shared games (45%), with Carson hitting in 57% of them.
- Alex Bregman (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 42 of 98 shared games (43%), with Carson hitting in 61% of them.
- Pedro Ramirez (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 14 of 36 shared games (39%), with Carson hitting in 61% of them.
- Seiya Suzuki (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 76 of 196 shared games (39%), with Carson hitting in 57% of them.
- Michael Busch (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 78 of 206 shared games (38%), with Carson hitting in 57% of them.
Build Carson's props into a parlay
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