Esmerlyn Valdez Player Props

Pittsburgh Pirates · MIL @ PIT, 18:40 ET · vs Brandon Sproat

Data updated July 10, 2026 (ET)

Esmerlyn Valdez of the Pittsburgh Pirates has recorded Hits over 0.5 in 60% of 25 graded games heading into today's matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 80%. The recent-window splits and live sportsbook odds below reflect the slate as of July 10, 2026.

Hits — Over 0.5

Last 7

71% (7 games)

Last 15

80% (15 games)

Last 30

60% (25 games)

Season

60% (25 games)

At home

58% (12 games)

vs RHP

53% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 0.5	-176		-165	-165
Under 0.5	+132		+125	+125

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	Hits	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	1	Hit
Jul 8	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	1	Hit
Jul 5	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	1	Hit
Jul 3	@ WSH	3	Hit
Jul 2	@ PHI	2	Hit
Jul 1	@ PHI	1	Hit
Jun 30	@ PHI	2	Hit
Jun 29	@ PHI	2	Hit

Results vs today's Over 0.5 line.

4 alternate lines available in the app.

Home Runs — Over 0.5

Last 7

14% (7 games)

Last 15

33% (15 games)

Last 30

28% (25 games)

Season

28% (25 games)

At home

42% (12 games)

vs RHP

29% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 0.5				+475

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	Home Runs	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	1	Hit
Jul 8	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 5	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 3	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 2	@ PHI	0	Miss
Jul 1	@ PHI	0	Miss
Jun 30	@ PHI	0	Miss
Jun 29	@ PHI	1	Hit

Results vs today's Over 0.5 line.

3 alternate lines available in the app.

Total Bases — Over 0.5

Last 7

71% (7 games)

Last 15

80% (15 games)

Last 30

60% (25 games)

Season

60% (25 games)

At home

58% (12 games)

vs RHP

53% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 0.5			-165
Under 0.5			+125

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	Total Bases	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	4	Hit
Jul 8	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	1	Hit
Jul 5	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	1	Hit
Jul 3	@ WSH	4	Hit
Jul 2	@ PHI	4	Hit
Jul 1	@ PHI	1	Hit
Jun 30	@ PHI	2	Hit
Jun 29	@ PHI	6	Hit

Results vs today's Over 0.5 line.

5 alternate lines available in the app.

Runs Scored — Over 0.5

Last 7

57% (7 games)

Last 15

67% (15 games)

Last 30

52% (25 games)

Season

52% (25 games)

At home

58% (12 games)

vs RHP

53% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 0.5	+120		+130	+125
Under 0.5	-167		-175	-165

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	Runs Scored	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	1	Hit
Jul 8	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	2	Hit
Jul 5	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 3	@ WSH	1	Hit
Jul 2	@ PHI	1	Hit
Jul 1	@ PHI	1	Hit
Jun 30	@ PHI	0	Miss
Jun 29	@ PHI	2	Hit

Results vs today's Over 0.5 line.

4 alternate lines available in the app.

RBIs — Over 0.5

Last 7

57% (7 games)

Last 15

60% (15 games)

Last 30

44% (25 games)

Season

44% (25 games)

At home

50% (12 games)

vs RHP

41% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 0.5	+178		+165	+170
Under 0.5	-252		-225	-240

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	RBIs	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	1	Hit
Jul 8	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 5	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	1	Hit
Jul 3	@ WSH	1	Hit
Jul 2	@ PHI	3	Hit
Jul 1	@ PHI	0	Miss
Jun 30	@ PHI	0	Miss
Jun 29	@ PHI	2	Hit

Results vs today's Over 0.5 line.

5 alternate lines available in the app.

Stolen Bases — Over 0.5

Last 7

0% (7 games)

Last 15

0% (15 games)

Last 30

0% (25 games)

Season

0% (25 games)

At home

0% (12 games)

vs RHP

0% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 0.5		+920	+1300	+1100

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	Miss
Jul 8	vs ATL	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	Miss
Jul 5	@ WSH	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	Miss
Jul 3	@ WSH	Miss
Jul 2	@ PHI	Miss
Jul 1	@ PHI	Miss
Jun 30	@ PHI	Miss
Jun 29	@ PHI	Miss

Results vs today's Over 0.5 line.

2 alternate lines available in the app.

Hits + Runs + RBIs — Over 1.5

Last 7

71% (7 games)

Last 15

80% (15 games)

Last 30

60% (25 games)

Season

60% (25 games)

At home

58% (12 games)

vs RHP

53% (17 games)

Bet	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Hard Rock
Over 1.5	-101		+100	+100
Under 1.5	-132		-130	-130

Last 10 games

Date	Opp	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Result
Jul 9	vs ATL	3	Hit
Jul 8	vs ATL	0	Miss
Jul 7	vs ATL	3	Hit
Jul 5	@ WSH	0	Miss
Jul 4	@ WSH	2	Hit
Jul 3	@ WSH	5	Hit
Jul 2	@ PHI	6	Hit
Jul 1	@ PHI	2	Hit
Jun 30	@ PHI	2	Hit
Jun 29	@ PHI	6	Hit

Results vs today's Over 1.5 line.

5 alternate lines available in the app.

How Esmerlyn Valdez's Hits pairs with teammates

Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Esmerlyn's did.

Bryan Reynolds (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 12 of 25 shared games (48%) (Esmerlyn alone: 60% in those games)
Nick Gonzales (Hits Over 0.5) — Both hit in 11 of 25 shared games (44%) (Esmerlyn alone: 60% in those games)

Build Esmerlyn's props into a parlay

Analyze these props together — with real correlation data — in the Bettorly parlay analyzer.

Open the Bettorly analyzer