Francisco Alvarez Player Props
New York Mets · at Tampa Bay Rays, 6:40 PM ET · vs Griffin Jax
Data updated September 2, 2026 (ET)
Closing odds — game underway or final.
Francisco Alvarez of the New York Mets has recorded Hits over 0.5 in 60% of 170 graded games heading into the matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays. Over his last 15 games that historical hit rate is 33%. The recent-window splits and live sportsbook odds below reflect the slate as of September 2, 2026.
At a glance
| Market | Line | Season hit rate |
|---|---|---|
| Hits | Over 0.5 | 60% |
| Home Runs | Over 0.5 | 12% |
| Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 32% |
| Runs Scored | Over 0.5 | 28% |
| RBIs | Over 0.5 | 26% |
| Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 63% |
Hits Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | BetMGM | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | -111 | +100 | -110 |
| Under 0.5 | -120 | -135 | -120 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Hits (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 1 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 1 | Won |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | @ CHW | 1 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
4 alternate lines available in the app.
Home Runs Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | BetMGM | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | +525 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Home Runs (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
2 alternate lines available in the app.
Total Bases Over 1.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | BetMGM | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | — | — | +240 |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | -350 |
— = not offered at this book
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Total Bases (vs 1.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 2 | Won |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | @ CHW | 1 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 1.5 line.
5 alternate lines available in the app.
Runs Scored Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | BetMGM | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | +191 | +180 | +170 |
| Under 0.5 | -271 | -250 | -240 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Runs Scored (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
3 alternate lines available in the app.
RBIs Over 0.5 — Hit Rate & Odds
| Bet | DraftKings | BetMGM | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | +299 | +260 | +260 |
| Under 0.5 | -444 | -375 | -375 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | RBIs (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 1 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 2 | Won |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 1 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 21 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
5 alternate lines available in the app.
Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5
| Bet | DraftKings | BetMGM | Hard Rock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | -144 | -155 | -145 |
| Under 0.5 | +108 | +120 | +110 |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Hits + Runs + RBIs (vs 0.5) | Bet result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 2 | Won |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 3 | Won |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 2 | Won |
| Aug 23 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 22 | @ CHW | 1 | Won |
| Aug 21 | @ CHW | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 19 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
| Aug 18 | vs SD | 0 | Lost |
Results vs the Over 0.5 line.
5 alternate lines available in the app.
How Francisco Alvarez's Hits pairs with teammates
Historical co-occurrence — how often each teammate's top prop has hit in the same games Francisco's did.
- Carson Benge (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 40 of 89 shared games (45%), with Francisco hitting in 60% of them.
- Juan Soto (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 55 of 128 shared games (43%), with Francisco hitting in 63% of them.
- Bo Bichette (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 39 of 94 shared games (41%), with Francisco hitting in 63% of them.
- Jared Young (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 26 of 67 shared games (39%), with Francisco hitting in 63% of them.
- Francisco Lindor (Hits Over 0.5) — both hit in 50 of 139 shared games (36%), with Francisco hitting in 57% of them.
Build Francisco's props into a parlay
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